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Climate migration refers to the movement of people driven by changes in climate and environmental conditions. This module explores the factors contributing to climate migration, its impacts on societies and ecosystems, and the strategies required to address this growing global challenge.

Understanding Climate Migration

Climate migration refers to the temporary or permanent movement of people due to climate-related factors such as extreme weather events, sea-level rise, desertification, and resource scarcity. It can be internal (within a country) or cross-border, and can be as a result of sudden disasters such as floods or hurricanes, for example New Orleans in 2005, or a gradual build up typically caused by droughts or sea level rise, for example in Guatemala in 2019.

Figure 18. Map showing regions at risk from climate change impacts (such as hurricanes, drought, desertification, flooding of small islands and deltas, and Arctic ice melt) that drive climate-related migration.

Certain communities often become disproportionately affected by climate change and therefore can become trapped due to financial, social, or physical constraints. This can lead to a competition for resources, oftentimes leading to conflict or alternatively migration into cities where public spending and work opportunities are typically higher.

According to Xu et al (2020), the next 50 years could see a temperature increase greater than that of the last 6,000 years combined. Subsequently, by 2070, zones labelled as ‘extremely hot’, like the Sahara, that covers less than 1% of Earth’s current land surface, could cover nearly 20% of the land, resulting in one in every three people being forced to move (McLeman, 2019). Even until the year 2050, an assumption of a 2°C rise, compared to the current 1.5°C rise, is estimated to increase the number of people exposed to climate-related risks and poverty by up to several hundred million (Xu et al, 2020).

Figure 19. A global climate strike in Melbourne, 2019.

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